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OKBET NBA Update: Tuesday’s fantasy and NBA betting tips Best OKBET MLB Bets, Expert Predictions, & Odds

Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This is your guide to learning how to bet on hockey. Follow me on Twitter to stay up to date on starting goaltenders and any new developments that may impact the betting market.

Market Update for Tuesday, November 1st

Monday was a quiet day. Nothing to report

Wins: 18 Units lost: 16 Won: + 2.76 units 7.9 percent return on investment

Betstamp, a third-party bet tracking app, is where I keep track of all my wagers. The bets become apparent once the games begin. I keep my own personal records as well, and they may differ slightly from Betstamp due to a variety of factors, but for the most part, they should be very close.

Today: Tuesday’s 12-game slate doesn’t have as much value as I’d like to see, but I have one early bet to get things started.

Today’s Odds: Edmonton Oilers -165, Ottawa Senators + 170, Boston Bruins EVEN, Montreal Canadiens + 210

All game lines are from DraftKings Sportsbook and BetMGM Sportsbook, but I will occasionally use the consensus odds from the VSiN NHL Odds page if it is a better price and widely available. All recommended bets will be accompanied by a recommended stake size. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey and Natural Stat Trick.

Nashville Predators (+ 145) vs. Edmonton Oilers (-165)

Nashville is 1-7 since winning back-to-back games against the San Jose Sharks to start the season in Prague. The Predators’ offense ranks 30th after nine games, which is a shame. Juuse Saros is one of the best goaltenders in the league right now, but his teammates haven’t helped him out, scoring less than 2.5 goals per 60 minutes in all situations. Saros has saved the team approximately three goals more than expected, but the Oilers have already defeated teams with solid goaltending and far more offensive firepower. Nashville can turn things around thanks to their goaltender, but they haven’t beaten Edmonton in two seasons (0-6) and I’m betting that streak continues with an Oilers win on Tuesday.

The Oilers started slowly, but they’ve turned it on. The Oilers are back to their scoring ways after finishing as one of the top offensive teams in 2021-22. Only the Boston Bruins have scored more goals per 60 minutes than Edmonton has in 2022-23, and I’m confident that their attack will remain dangerous if Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Evander Kane, and Zach Hyman can do the heavy lifting. Edmonton has won four games in a row and five of their last six. I believe Carolina and Calgary are the two best teams in the league, and the Oilers have lost both in the last two weeks. The Oilers have played their last three games on the road, and there is always concern that the first game back in front of home fans will be a letdown. However, my model places the home team at -185. I was able to shop around and find -160 and better, and you should do the same. The only reason I’m listing the Oilers at -165 is because all of the sportsbooks from which I drew odds for this article are still at -165.

The Oilers’ starting quarterback is expected to be Jack Campbell.

Edmonton Oilers -165 Stake: 1.65 units to win 1 unit

Ottawa Senators (+ 170) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-190)

On Saturday, Ottawa performed poorly in Florida. Maybe they spent too much time on the golf course or out on the town. In any case, the Senators did not get the game started on time. That was also a shame, because they battled back and tied the game before giving up a late lead to the Panthers. That kind of half-assed performance might work against Florida, which doesn’t have a good goaltender to rely on, but the Lightning might be a tougher test stylistically. After all, Andrei Vasilevskiy is still the best goaltender in the world. I haven’t decided against betting on the Senators in this game, but I’m waiting to see if the market shifts toward the home team before deciding whether or not to place a wager.

Update: Andrei Vasilevskiy will start in goal for the Lightning, and defender Victor Hedman is out. I have a small bet on the Senators at +165 or better.

  • Ottawa Senators + 170
  • Stake: 0.5 units to win 0.85 units

Montreal was a big winner for me on Saturday when they defeated the St. Louis Blues (on the road) 7-4 as a +235 underdog, and I’d like to see them do it again on Tuesday in Minnesota. However, I believe it’s safe to say that the market believes Minnesota is a lot better than St. Louis, and if that’s the case, the Wild will undoubtedly be a bigger favorite later in the day. Montreal closed at around + 215 in St. Louis. Right now, the Wild are one of the worst bets in hockey. They win and lose based on luck, and the two games they played this past weekend are prime examples. The Wild will most likely win this game, but I’m only interested in betting on the underdog. But maybe I’ll get better odds later in the day. Stay tuned.

Update: Marc-Andre Fleury and Jake Allen will start in goal for their respective clubs. I’m putting a small wager on the Canadiens at +210.

Bet: Montreal Canadiens + 210 Stake: 0.5 units to win 1.05 units

Vegas Golden Knights (-130) vs. Washington Capitals (+ 110)

Darcy Kuemper, goaltender for the Washington Capitals, faced 71 shots in a 3-2 shootout loss to the Carolina Hurricanes on Monday. With a 4-3-1 record and.922 save percentage, the newly signed goaltender appears to have found his groove. But will Kuemper start back-to-back games? I don’t think you can rule it out, given that the Golden Knights are a tough team that generates a lot of shots. I’m not sure how I feel about head coach Petr Laviolette starting backup goaltender Charlie Lindgren. Kuemper is one of the league’s best goaltenders, and Lindgren confuses my model. I almost puked watching him try to hold a four-goal lead against the New Jersey Devils last week.

It appears that John Carlson will return to the lineup, but nothing has been confirmed. T.J. Oshie’s absence has been confirmed, but the Capitals are far from full strength. I still have a higher opinion of Washington than most, but the Hurricanes humiliated them on Monday. Carolina generated roughly 70% of the shot attempts and expected goals in the game. This season, Vegas is second in expected goals, so whether Carlson plays or not is unlikely to matter. The Capitals are a tired hockey team, and my model has the game priced at -135 in favor of the Golden Knights, assuming Carlson plays defense and Lindgren starts in goal.

Update: John Carlson is out, and Lindgren will take over in goal for the Capitals.

Philadelphia Flyers (+ 195) vs. New York Rangers (-230)

Philadelphia ranks third-worst in terms of expected goals and worst in terms of shot attempt percentage. No team has allowed more shots per 60-minute period. The Flyers stink, and you shouldn’t believe anything else you hear. Carter Hart is the only reason this team is making any noise, and while he could potentially drag this team to the playoffs, it’s highly unlikely. This game should be easy for the Rangers. But are we certain that Igor Shesterkin will begin this game? He started back-to-back games over the weekend, and this is the team’s third game in four days. Following this game, the Rangers will have only one day of rest before facing the NHL’s top team, the Boston Bruins, on Thursday at Madison Square Garden. I wouldn’t be surprised if head coach Gerard Gallant turned to Halak for Tuesday’s game against the Flyers, and I believe bettors should proceed with caution as a result.

Igor Shesterkin will start in goal for the Rangers. Carter Hart will start in goal for the Flyers. It’s unusual for a goaltender to play three games in four days, and my model values the Rangers at -215 as a result.

Boston Bruins (-105) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (-115)

Pittsburgh has dropped four straight games, and a game against the Boston Bruins isn’t the best place to try to turn things around. The Bruins are 9-1 and have scored more goals than any other team in the league. Oh, and goaltender Linus Ullmark is a top-10 goaltender in terms of goals saved above expectations. Kris Letang of the Penguins missed Monday’s practice due to an undisclosed illness, and it’s unclear if he’ll play in the game. All forward Jeff Carter missed practice due to injury. He is expected to miss the game. Boston is also not at full strength, as center David Krejci is out. If Letang is out, I could see backing the Bruins as a small underdog, but unless head coach Mike Sullivan holds a media availability early on Tuesday, we won’t know until closer to puck drop.

Both Carter and Letang are OUT for Pittsburgh. I’m going to place a small bet on the Boston Bruins at around even money.

Boston Bruins EVEN Stake: 0.5 units to win 0.5 units

New York Islanders (-175) vs. Chicago Blackhawks (+ 155)

Say what you want about Seth Jones, but he’s been good for the Blackhawks and moves the needle when he’s out. I mean, I’m not his biggest fan, but he does help the team produce offense. Sure, they scored goals against the Wild without him on Sunday, but the Islanders are much more aware defensively than Minnesota. Ilya Sorokin only won one of his first four games, but he’s won his last two starts and is currently leading the league in goals saved above expectations. Sorokin gets the start for the Islanders on Tuesday and should be priced around -185.

Update: Alex Stalock will start in goal for Chicago. Seth Jones has been placed on injured reserve.

Los Angeles Kings (+120) vs. Dallas Stars (-140)

Los Angeles thrashed the Blues 5-1 on Tuesday in St. Louis. It was the Kings’ third victory in their last four games. Dallas should be a difficult test, but how difficult depends on the health of their best player, Miro Heiskanen. Dallas will not be icing their best lineup regardless, as goaltender Jake Oettinger is expected to be out for at least a week or more. Heiskanen hasn’t played since October 24th, and I’m interested in betting on the road team if he doesn’t return. The 23-year-old blueliner practiced with the team on Monday and said he’ll see how he feels before the game against the Kings. Dallas is a strong team, but when their two biggest weapons are removed, they become much more beatable, which is why I’m not ruling out a wager on the road team. But I’ll need confirmation that Heiskanen is no longer available.

Seattle Kraken (+ 195) vs. Calgary Flames (-230)

Seattle will travel to Calgary, Minnesota, and Pittsburgh for three games. The Flames will be the most difficult test of the three teams. Seattle has won three of their last five games and has scored at least three goals in six of their last seven. However, their goaltenders seem to allow five goals every other game, which is why the Kraken have a losing record so far. My model places the Flames at around -240.

New Jersey Devils (-115) vs. Vancouver Canucks (-105)

Quinn Hughes of the Vancouver Canucks has missed the last four games but is expected to return on Tuesday. However, winger Brock Boeser, who has been out for the past three games, may not be ready just yet. Hughes was a full participant in practice on Monday, while Boeser was subbed in and out of line rushes and did not work with the power play units. Head coach Bruce Boudreau initially labeled Boeser a game-time decision, but later changed his status to day-to-day. All of this makes determining a price for the game difficult.

Florida Panthers (-250) vs. Arizona Coyotes (+210)

Arizona is still looking for their first win at Mullet Arena, and it’s unlikely they’ll get it on Tuesday. Florida wasn’t as good on the road as they were at home last season, and my model has this game pegged at -265 in their favor. That means I have almost no betting interest in this game.

Anaheim Ducks (+115) vs. San Jose Sharks (-135)

I didn’t think I’d bet on the Sharks as a favorite in any game this season, but here we are. As bad as the Sharks have been, the Ducks have been even worse. Both teams are in the bottom ten in terms of expected goals, but the Sharks allow one fewer goal per game than the Ducks while scoring about the same number. San Jose ranks higher in most categories, and my model values them at -140 if James Reimer and John Gibson start in goal. The Ducks have arguably been the worst defensive team in hockey through the first three weeks of the season, ranking 28th in expected goals against in all situations, while the Sharks have been surprisingly impressive, ranking just outside the top-10. I’m not dying to be this game by any means, and unless the game line starts to favor Anaheim, I’ll probably pass on a small edge that I’m not all that confident in.

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