The CFL regular season is coming to an end, and it couldn’t come at a better time for an Ottawa Redblacks team that hasn’t had much success, even at home. Check out our Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks betting predictions to see why we’re betting against them again at TD Place.
On Saturday, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Ottawa Redblacks will play their final regular-season game in the nation’s capital.
The Ticats beat Ottawa last week to secure a playoff spot, while the Redblacks will finish last in the East Division for the third year in a row. With this Week 21 clash being largely meaningless for both teams, the Tabbies opened as 1.5-point road favorites before falling to -1.
Here are my free Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks CFL predictions and picks for October 29.
Best odds for Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks
Picks and predictions for Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks
It’s difficult to forecast what is essentially a meaningless game for both teams. The Ticats may rest some key starters in preparation for next week’s playoff game against the Alouettes. Meanwhile, the Redblacks may give younger players some playing time to evaluate for next season while shutting down veterans.
We do know who both teams’ quarterbacks will be. Despite a thumb injury, Dane Evans is expected to start at pivot for Hamilton, and even if experienced backup Matt Shiltz takes over at some point, there won’t be much of a dropoff.
Caleb Evans, who has been playing as a short-yardage specialist in recent weeks, will start for the Redblacks. Evans previously started at quarterback from Weeks 6 through 9 before being benched due to a poor performance against Calgary. Tyrie Adams, a rookie who has never played in the NFL, will serve as his backup and is expected to play as well.
While the Tabbies may rest a few starters (especially in the second half), the Redblacks are likely to be forced to rely on a slew of backups as well.
The Redblacks’ best offensive threat, wide receiver Jaelon Acklin, has been suspended for the season. Ottawa is also down to its fourth-string running back and will be without two of its best defensive backs in a secondary that is already struggling. Lorenzo Mauldin, Ottawa’s defensive MVP (who leads the CFL with 16 sacks), is listed as questionable after missing practice all week.
With the Ticats having superior depth and quarterbacks, I’m leaning toward taking them at a pick’em.
Tiger-Cats -1 is my best bet (-110 at OKBET)
Analysis of the Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks spread
Last week, these teams met in Hamilton, and the Ticats rallied from a 21-13 first-half deficit to win on a last-second field goal. This was the Redblacks’ fifth loss in six games, bringing their record to 4-13.
The Redblacks had high expectations going into this season, but after a pair of close losses to the Bombers, their season unraveled. Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli suffered a season-ending injury in Week 5, and his replacements, Evans and Nick Arbuckle, struggled.
They also sustained numerous injuries at the other skill positions and in their secondary. As a result, the team ranks second-last in the league in scoring offense (21.4 points per game) and third-last in scoring defense (21.4 points per game) (26.6 ppg).
The Ticats have also been a disappointment, and they should consider themselves fortunate to have made the playoffs. They had a disastrous start to the season this year, with Evans turning the ball over at an alarming rate.
Over the last month, he has reduced his turnovers, and the Ticats have gone 4-1 SU (3-2) ATS in their last five games, highlighted by a 48-31 victory over the Blue Bombers in Week 15.
The Redblacks have struggled with home-field advantage recently, winning just one of their last 23 games at TD Place and going 1-7 ATS this season.
Over/Under prediction for Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks
Masoli would have aided Ottawa’s offense, but no single player could have fixed the Redblacks’ defense. The Redblacks gave up a league-low 365.1 yards per game and were second-to-last in opponent pass efficiency rating (103.4) and yards allowed per pass attempt (9.2).
I mentioned that Ottawa was third-worst in the league in scoring defense, and Hamilton is right behind them, allowing 26.9 points per game. Although this has a lot to do with turnovers and poor field position earlier in the season, it’s still fair to say that the Ticats’ defense has underperformed.
Offensively, these teams have recently been airing it out and rolling up the yards. Having said that, the Redblacks will have a more difficult time moving the ball through the air with Evans and Adams than they did with Arbuckle.
Evans is a step up in terms of running ability, but he’ll be up against a Hamilton defense that allows a league-low 4.7 yards per carry.
The Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks trend to be aware of
The Over has gone 4-1 in the Redblacks’ last five games and 7-3 in the Ticats’ previous ten. More CFL betting trends for Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks can be found here.
Game information for the Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks
- Location: TD Place Stadium in Ottawa, Ontario
- Date: 29th of October, 2022
- Kickoff: 5:00 p.m. ET
- TV: TSN
Key injuries in Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks
Tiger-Cats: Lemar Durant (Questionable), Micah Johnson (DT), Don Jackson (RB), Dylan Wynn (DT), Bralon Addison (WR), Alex Fontana (C), Chris Van Zeyl (OT), Papi White (WR) (Out).
Redblacks: Jaelon Acklin WR (Out), William Powell RB ((Out)), DeVonte Dedmon WR (Out), Patrick Levels DB (Out), Abdul Kaneh DB (Out), DeVonte Williams RB (Out), Jackson Bennett RB, Tevaun Smith WR (Out), Praise Martin-Oguike DT (Out), Davon Coleman DT (Out), Frankie Griffen LB (Out), Ucambre Williams (Out).
Find the most recent CFL injury reports here.